Project Butterfly 2 (PB2) didn’t begin as an app or a game — it began as a question.
What if the same tools that guide global investment decisions could also help households, schools, and communities prepare for a changing climate?
That question traces back more than a decade, to a collaboration between energy entrepreneur and systems thinker Thomas H. Stoner Jr., data scientist Mark Labovitz, PhD, and others. Together, they developed the original Project Butterfly Financial Calculator (PBFC), one of the earliest attempts to link climate scenarios to financial outcomes using systems dynamics.
The first Project Butterfly — launched in the late 2000s — was born from the conviction that the science of climate economics shouldn’t stay locked in research papers or corporate analytics. Its purpose was to translate complexity into understanding, to show that the economy, the environment, and human behavior are part of the same system.
The PBFC proved that idea worked. It modeled how investments in clean energy and efficiency could reduce risk and increase returns, demonstrating that sustainability and profitability were not opposites but two sides of the same coin. The results were powerful enough to inspire Stoner’s 2014 book, Small Change, Big Gains, which argued that the same financial logic driving investors could help everyday people make better choices for the planet and their wallets.
That early work led to a licensing partnership with Entelligent, a climate-finance analytics firm co-founded by members of the Project Butterfly team. Entelligent used the PBFC as the foundation for two groundbreaking, patented climate risk metrics — the E-Score and T-Risk Score — later adopted by major financial institutions such as Société Générale, Bank of Montreal, and Bank of America. Those tools brought climate modeling into mainstream finance, helping asset managers and insurers quantify exposure to environmental risk across billions in managed assets.
But even as the data reached Wall Street, a gap remained.
The people most affected by climate change — households, educators, local governments — were still left out of the equation. They were expected to adapt without access to the same quality of insight that investors used daily.
That realization sparked Project Butterfly 2.
PB2 was created to bring the science back to the people — to make the predictive intelligence once reserved for markets accessible to everyone. Instead of focusing on portfolio performance, PB2 focuses on resilience performance: how well households, neighborhoods, and cities can prepare for and thrive amid environmental and economic change.
At its core, PB2 carries the same DNA as the original Project Butterfly: systems thinking, financial realism, and a belief in the power of modeling to drive smarter decisions. But its mission has evolved — from investment modeling to social empowerment, from spreadsheets to storytelling, from theory to participation.
Today, the PBFC’s legacy lives on inside PB2’s proprietary Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) — the engine that powers the PB2 Score and underpins both the PB2 App and the Climate Collapse Game. It’s the same logic, scaled down to human experience: a bridge between global systems and local action, between simulation and real life.
The name Project Butterfly still carries its original meaning — the idea that small changes, when connected across a system, can create global effects. PB2 is that idea brought to life — a platform that turns awareness into measurable action and ensures that every person, family, and community has the tools to shape the future they share.




